Shopify holiday quarter results beat estimates but looming expenses drag shares

Shopify holiday quarter results beat estimates but looming expenses drag shares

By

Reuters

Published



Feb 14, 2024

Canadian ecommerce services provider Shopify on Tuesday beat analysts’ estimates for fourth-quarter revenue and profit on strong demand from merchants during the all-important holiday shopping season.

Reuters

However, the company’s U.S.-listed and Toronto shares fell nearly 10%. Analysts pointed to the run-up in the stock for the decline and softer first-quarter projections, especially its fre cash flow (FCF) margin.

Shopify expects free cash flow margin for the first quarter – traditionally its lowest revenue quarter – to be in the high single-digit percentage of revenue. That compared with 21% in the fourth quarter.

“Investors were likely not expecting such a significant decrease in FCF margin from the fourth quarter to the first quarter,” William Blair analyst Matthew Pfau said.

Operating expenses is expected to be up at a “low-teens percentage rate” in the current quarter from the prior quarter, the company said, primarily due to marketing and employee-related costs.

Shopify expects free cash flow margin for the first quarter – traditionally its lowest revenue quarter – to be in the high single-digit percentage of revenue. That compared with 21% in the fourth quarter.
“Investors were likely not expecting such a significant decrease in FCF margin from the fourth quarter to the first quarter,” William Blair analyst Matthew Pfau said.

Operating expenses is expected to be up at a “low-teens percentage rate” in the current quarter from the prior quarter, the company said, primarily due to marketing and employee-related costs.

Merchants on the platform reached a record of $9.3 billion in sales over the Black Friday-Cyber Monday weekend, the company had said earlier, a 24% increase from a year earlier.

The company has been integrating AI-enabled features into multiple products with the help of Shopify Magic and its AI-enabled assistant “Sidekick” amid intensifying competition.

Meanwhile, the company expects the impact from a new pricing plan for its enterprise-focused offering, Shopify Plus, from the second half of the year.

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